Wednesday, June 17, 2009

Financial Markets Monthly - June 2009

Highlights

  • Risk appetite whetted by less negative economic news.
  • Stocks, commodities and currencies (except the U.S. dollar) have rallied.
  • Longer-dated government bond yields rose.
  • The sharp contraction in key world in the first quarter may represent the worst for this recession...
  • ...with forecasters calling for economies to get back into the black later this year
  • Central banks keep policy accommodative, but are largely tapped out on rate cuts.
  • Canada's first-quarter contraction was less than expected.
  • The economy likely remained in recession in the second quarter, but moderate growth is expected in the second half of the year.
  • The Canadian dollar benefitted from the recent pick-up in risk appetite ...
  • ...presenting downside risk to the outlook for exporters.
  • The Bank of Canada left the policy rate at 0.25% and reiterated its conditional committment to maintaining this level until the middle of next year.
  • Eurozone real GDP plunged in the first quarter.
  • Recent Eurozone survey data have reported steadily more positive readings on the economic growth front .
  • In its quarterly inflation report, the Bank of England revised its growth forecast down.
  • S&P revised down its mediumterm outlook for the United Kingdom to "negative," while the outlook for New Zealand was revised up to "stable."
  • Australian GDP confounded expectations for a 0.2% fall, rising

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